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Calvin Ridley 2023 Outlook


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Dunno if there will be any value here, but good on him for presumably getting his personal life sorted out. 

 

Sports Illustrated's John Shipley writes Calvin Ridley "simply moves differently than any other wide receiver on the field."

Begin the hype for Ridley's return from a gambling suspension. Ridley separating himself from Christian Kirk early is a good sign for Ridley's ability to be the true No. 1 in Jacksonville. Press Taylor told reporters that "we're very confident in the player we're getting." Ridley has a top-40 ADP on most best ball sites and is one of the top 20 wideouts on the board. He'll need to separate himself from Kirk to live up to that draft position. 

May 23, 2023, 2:47 PM ET
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I am going to let someone else bank on a return to fantasy relevance for Ridley after more than a year away from game action.

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Calvin Ridley and Christian Kirk won't necessarily cannibalize each other in Doug Pederson's offense. If I remember correctly, the year the Eagles won the Super Bowl, Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor and Zach Ertz were all producing well for fantasy. 

Deciding where to draft Ridley, or even Ridley vs Kirk is kind of tricky. 

Gimme some T Law though! 

 

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Right now I'm planning to target Ridley everywhere. I've never heard such a strong and uniformly positive drumbeat for a player. Everyone has praised to the sky both his ability and attitude. In every media appearance Ridley appears exceptionally confident, focused and determined not to lose this opportunity to get his career back on track. In that great article he wrote in March for The Player's Tribune he guaranteed "on my daughter's name" 1400 yards this season, if healthy. I'll never bet against an ultra talented, highly determined person who has declared an ambitious but realistic goal. Can't wait to be the over on whatever Ridley's season yards O/U line is.

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4 hours ago, rex_bulkhead said:

Right now I'm planning to target Ridley everywhere. I've never heard such a strong and uniformly positive drumbeat for a player. Everyone has praised to the sky both his ability and attitude. In every media appearance Ridley appears exceptionally confident, focused and determined not to lose this opportunity to get his career back on track. In that great article he wrote in March for The Player's Tribune he guaranteed "on my daughter's name" 1400 yards this season, if healthy. I'll never bet against an ultra talented, highly determined person who has declared an ambitious but realistic goal. Can't wait to be the over on whatever Ridley's season yards O/U line is.

How long have you been following NFL football, sir?  Offseason hype puff pieces are as common as dookies in a kiddy pool, and worth about the same amount.

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I'm absolutely going to be taking the plunge.  Not because I'm bullish or anything.  I just know I won't be able to help myself.  This is a case of a guy I'll target, but won't advocate for.  It's at least 18 months of rust to shake off, and while I'd bet he's almost certainly not gambling any more (or at least has a burner smartphone this time), he's still got that anxiety issue that could pop up.   A lot can go wrong, and there's no promise of glory even if he's back and playing full time.

One thing I will say- I love Christian Kirk, but I don't think he's a problem at all if Ridley comes back to where he was.  Ridley at his peak was, IMO, a level above Kirk.   

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Such a long layoff, and I don't remember him looking that great during the 2021 season after Julio left and he was the alpha. But to his credit, he had alot of big games in 2020 when Julio missed games. He looks cheap enough to be an option though at WR27, according to fantasypros. They have him behind London, Jeudy, Watson, and Lockett. 

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Be curious to see what happens here. Is this going to turn out great (I hope it does, I like Ridley) or is this Josh Gordon 2.0 where we keep chasing and hoping he gets back to the one elite year? He's only had 1 top 20 finish as a WR.

He has had a knack for scoring TDs in his career and has a good QB throwing him the ball so he does have that going for him. I'd like to own some shares but his ADP might be a bit steep come summer drafts.

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3 hours ago, SharkSwimmer said:

What is his current ADP?  WR47?

I posted above, he's WR27 according to fantasypros. I'd probably take Ridley over all 4 of the guys I listed they had in front of him. When I start getting to the WR3 range in my draft I really want upside. The odds are most definitely stacked against Ridley blowing up again after a really long layoff, but the opportunity is there

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2 hours ago, Dreams And Dwightmares said:

WR34 today in PPR.  Behind Marquise Brown WR33.

 

He can't be any worse than 800 and 5 TDs, but he can be much much higher.  

 

He's actually going real close to Kirk and that's obviously the question here.  Kirk or Ridley.  Incumbent or Talent.

Talent

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WR27?  Nope.  I would take a flyer on a younger player without the baggage of mental health issues, a long period away from the game, and obviously questionable judgment and decision-making.

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15 hours ago, SharkSwimmer said:

WR27?  Nope.  I would take a flyer on a younger player without the baggage of mental health issues, a long period away from the game, and obviously questionable judgment and decision-making.

Wr27 seems okay to me.  If I could get him as my wr3 I'd be pretty happy I think. Still only 28.   His route running, at least was elite,  so I'll definitely be watching camp reports to see if the time off looks to be an issue.   

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56 minutes ago, Boudewijn said:

Darren Waller is probably the ultimate refutation of this.

And Waller will promptly un-refute the principle again this year.

Vick had a decent season upon his return from suspension but it was partly because Chip Kelly's system was unfamiliar to NFL D coordinators.  Vick came right back down to earth in his second year back.  And Adrian Peterson is an All Time Great running back.  So I think those two are not great examples to give.

If you are in a deep league and have three solid guys ahead of him, sure, grab The Artist Formerly Known As...Calvin Ridley if you really want to.  I'll probably take a rookie in that spot instead and try to catch lightning in a bottle with a Garrett Wilson type.

Not the actual Garrett Wilson.  He'll go much higher.  A Garrett Wilson type would be a rookie with talent and some decent draft capitol.

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Boudewijn said:

Darren Waller is probably the ultimate refutation of this.

I mostly referring to what the player does in his first season after the absence. Waller's breakout happened the season after he returned. In recent times, Marshawn Lynch, Josh Gordon, and Leveon Bell looked like shells of their former selves. 

Edited by Evincar
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