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Lucas Giolito 2022 Outlook


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Uhhh.... hello? Does the team not putting him on IL yet mean he's feeling better, or will they just back-date it and screw us fantasy folks in the meantime? Even Yahoo still has him pitching his next start 

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1 hour ago, midlip said:

Uhhh.... hello? Does the team not putting him on IL yet mean he's feeling better, or will they just back-date it and screw us fantasy folks in the meantime? Even Yahoo still has him pitching his next start 

Unfortunately, the IL stint may not happen until Giolitto's next turn comes up. With rosters at 28 currently, instead of normally being 1 player short (24 players instead of 25) in this case, teams are +2 until end of April I believe.    

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  • 2 weeks later...
2 hours ago, mike11 said:

Is there any chance this guy goes from a back end SP1 10-15 into the top 5? With DeGroms injury and Cole tanking I see room for some fresh blood there (especially for dynasty).

Yes, not only is he one of the few top 10-15 pitchers who you could reasonably expect to improve, he was also one of the few that (before his tummy injury) I didn't have a lot of injury concerns about.  Fastball/change-up guys seem to stay healthier than breaking ball specialists (could be my imagination).  

Edited by Overlord
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3 minutes ago, Overlord said:

Yes, not only is he one of the few top 10-15 pitchers who you could reasonably expect to improve, he was also one of the few that (before his tummy injury) I didn't have a lot of injury concerns about.  Fastball/change-up guys seem to stay healthier than breaking ball specialists (could be my imagination).  

Have an offer of Giolito for my Luzardo and Tommy Edman. 10 team 7x7 avg and obp categories. I have to take this right? I started poking the owner on it and I know what I want Luzardo to be but also Giolito is already good he instantly would be my best SP.

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2 minutes ago, mike11 said:

Have an offer of Giolito for my Luzardo and Tommy Edman. 10 team 7x7 avg and obp categories. I have to take this right? I started poking the owner on it and I know what I want Luzardo to be but also Giolito is already good he instantly would be my best SP.

I'd say absolutely, no doubt about it, but 7x7 sounds bewildering and scary.

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16 minutes ago, Overlord said:

I'd say absolutely, no doubt about it, but 7x7 sounds bewildering and scary.

It was our way to make everyone happy

AVG, OBP, SB, HR, Total Bases, RBI, R

IP, K, W, SV, K/BB, ERA, WHIP

lmao it’s madness 

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  • 3 weeks later...

Gio's starting to roll, 7 IP with 5ks and 1 ER for a W tonight. Looks healthy and ready to help carry the White Sox in the absence of Lynn. Two starts against the Yankees, home and away, are going to be a real test of his strength. I think he will ace it.

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  • 2 weeks later...

Anyone comfortable rolling Lucas out against BOS after the SOX just delimbed Cease last night ?

Lucas has been pretty good not amazing thus far and BOS's lineup is smoking hot right now. He hasn't been overly great against BOS either, few games of 3 ERs and one last year he got pounded for 7 or 8 runs. 

 

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I sat him this week but only because I have a good staff (so far at least) with multiple 2 start guys, and went with an extra closer so an SP had to sit.  I hated sitting him tbh and would start him without an issue if one of my other guys had a tough matchup.  

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9 minutes ago, mike11 said:

Starting him. Have to hope he can be up to the challenge.

Agreed. I’ve sat several pitchers with ‘bad’ matchups already this year, only to miss out on Ws. And gotten burned in ‘easy’ matchups.  If a pitcher is a good pitcher, let it ride and hope for the best. 

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  • 4 weeks later...

The one game I've seen him pitch was at BOS. He didn't have good fastball command at all and had to rely on a lot of offspeed stuff. He had decent Ks in that game but allowed quite a few base runners and was lucky he didn't give up a bunch of runs. He just didn't look effective and seems like he's still figuring things out.

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4 hours ago, knifeparty said:

How is he so hittable this year?  Anyone with more knowledge know what's the deal here?  

The good news? His SIERA (3.56) and xFIP (3.57) are in line with previous years and point to a possible correction going forward. His CSW % (30.7%) also looks solid and in line with previous years.

The bad news? Walks are up a bit (bb/9 of 3.86). Velo is down half a tick (pretty normal given aging curves). Barrel percentage is almost doubled from last year and average exit velocity is up to a troubling 90.0 mph. A possible explanation? He’s lost the feel of both his changeup and slider which have been getting hit really hard. He’s also giving up homers at an alarming rate. His BABIP is way up but that’s likely a product of fewer groundballs plus tons of hard contact.
 

The bottom line? He’s got to regain his effective changeup and slider or else hitters will keep teeing off on his fastball. He might need to be benched in leagues until he shows some improvement (obviously not droppable).

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